Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.171630 0.205198 0.242972 0.288535 0.341909 0.402352 0.475890
2025-03-09 0.125653 0.169575 0.224625 0.298286 0.393815 0.513012 0.672446
2025-03-16 0.093172 0.137983 0.198940 0.287101 0.410361 0.575417 0.811770
2025-03-23 0.077206 0.123403 0.190583 0.294035 0.447607 0.665040 0.993448
2025-03-30 0.065329 0.111714 0.183245 0.299587 0.481470 0.751571 1.178435
2025-04-06 0.054459 0.099168 0.171964 0.296458 0.500477 0.816797 1.337458
2025-04-13 0.046078 0.088966 0.162404 0.293928 0.518943 0.881719 1.501140
2025-04-20 0.041280 0.084035 0.160633 0.303589 0.557674 0.981672 1.729272
2025-04-27 0.039837 0.084949 0.169025 0.331653 0.630371 1.143799 2.074271
2025-05-04 0.036484 0.081541 0.168918 0.344095 0.676586 1.265040 2.360761
2025-05-11 0.031559 0.074050 0.159904 0.338469 0.688915 1.327860 2.550623
2025-05-18 0.026538 0.065420 0.147304 0.324011 0.682582 1.355929 2.679905
2025-05-25 0.021964 0.057072 0.134331 0.307675 0.671958 1.377434 2.804184
2025-06-01 0.020223 0.054986 0.134423 0.318667 0.717521 1.510288 3.151947
2025-06-08 0.017092 0.048880 0.124616 0.306821 0.714310 1.547547 3.317962
2025-06-15 0.015650 0.046750 0.123554 0.314197 0.752525 1.670611 3.664092
2025-06-22 0.014287 0.044552 0.121972 0.320101 0.788060 1.791257 4.015613
2025-06-29 0.012610 0.041134 0.116828 0.316774 0.802333 1.868460 4.283636
2025-07-06 0.011182 0.038124 0.112225 0.314084 0.817637 1.949037 4.565441
2025-07-13 0.010472 0.037116 0.112740 0.324357 0.864726 2.103311 5.019004
2025-07-20 0.010569 0.038657 0.120418 0.354189 0.962371 2.378713 5.760312
2025-07-27 0.010012 0.037974 0.121781 0.367411 1.020265 2.568500 6.325071
2025-08-03 0.008866 0.035082 0.116350 0.361433 1.029012 2.645378 6.640007